@article {4770,
	title = {On Terrorism and Electoral Outcomes: Theory and Evidence from the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict},
	journal = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
	volume = {50},
	number = {6},
	year = {2006},
	pages = {899-925},
	abstract = {This article investigates the interaction between terror attacks and electoral outcomes in Israel. The\&nbsp;authors analyze a dynamic model of reputation that captures the salient characteristics of this conflict. The\&nbsp;equilibrium of the theoretical model generates two precise empirical predictions about the interaction between\&nbsp;terrorism and electoral outcomes. First, the relative support for the right-wing party is expected to increase\&nbsp;after periods with high levels of terrorism and to decrease after periods of relative calm. Second, the expected\&nbsp;level of terrorism is higher when the left-wing party is in office than it is during the term of the right-wing\&nbsp;party. The authors test these hypotheses by using a newly created data set on terrorist attacks in Israel between\&nbsp;1990 and 2003. The first hypothesis is strongly supported by data culled from public opinion polls about the\&nbsp;Israeli electorate{\textquoteright}s political preferences. The second theoretical hypothesis is strongly supported by the three\&nbsp;Israeli governments to which the theory can be applied that served during the studied time period.},
	author = {Claude Berrebi and Esteban F. Klor}
}
