@conference {26828,
	title = {What are the chances? How media coverage and intrinsic tendencies shape voters\&rsquo; probabilistic estimates about candidates\&rsquo; electoral prospects in the two-round 2022 French presidential elections},
	booktitle = {73rd ICA Annual Conference},
	year = {2023},
	address = {Toronto, Canada},
	author = {Baden, Christian and Maximilian Overbeck and Tali Aharoni and Tenenboim Weinblatt, Keren}
}
